The July 18 MLB betting trends board can't make up its mind. The top of the sheet is a shouting match: red-hot Overs in Atlanta and Arizona on one side, shutdown Unders in the Bronx, Tampa, and even Colorado on the other. Pick your mood. Here's the team-trends read for tonight's slate, and you can find the bats over on today's props board.
| Bet | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| ATL Team Total Over 4.5 | 17-3 last 20 at home | +106 |
| STL Team Total Over 4.5 (road) | 23-5 last 28 | +108 |
| NYY Team Total Under 4.5 | cashed 11 straight | -135 |
| TB Team Total Under 4.5 | 14-5 last 19 | +100 |
| WSH F5 Run Line -0.5 | 23-7 last 30 | +112 |
| COL Game Total Under 12.5 | 6-1 last 7 at home | -106 |
The Braves picked a loud time to wake up
Atlanta's offense had been a ghost for weeks, and then Friday it dropped a 15-1 haymaker on Texas. The Braves' Team Total Over has now cashed in 17 of its last 20 at home, 7 in a row, and tonight's number sits at 4.5 (+106). The whole game has been trending the same way: the Over has landed in 14 of Texas's last 17, with the total set at 9.0. MacKenzie Gore gets the ball for the Rangers against Owen Murphy, and a Braves club that's 27-18 at Truist Park and running the NL East will try to keep the scoreboard spinning. Worth a look: the Braves' Team Total Over at +106.
The Cardinals keep hitting on the road
St. Louis just walked out of the desert with a 5-4 win, and the road bats have been the story all season. The Cardinals' Team Total Over has cashed in 23 of their last 28 away from home, and you're getting plus money on it at +108. Dustin May and Brandon Pfaadt, both righties, draw the assignment in the rematch. Two straight have gone the Over's way. The lean is the Cardinals' Team Total Over at +108.
But the Bronx is where runs go to die
Flip the board over and the mood changes completely. The market already sees another pitcher's duel in the Dodgers-Yankees rematch, with the game Total down at 8.5. New York's Team Total Under has cashed in 11 straight at home, and tonight's number is 4.5, priced at -135. Emmet Sheehan is expected for Los Angeles against Ryan Weathers, who's piled up 110 strikeouts on the year. You're laying chalk to tail it, so shop the number. Worth a look: the Yankees' Team Total Under, though the -135 tax is real.
Tampa Bay stays quiet on its trip
Short and simple in this one. The Rays' Team Total Under has cashed in 14 of their last 19, three in a row, and 3 of their last 4 against Boston. Ian Seymour and Patrick Sandoval, two lefties, set up a game the board expects to stay low. Could be a value play: the Rays' Team Total Under at even money, +100.
Washington keeps grabbing early leads
Here's a spot the F5 Run Line crowd will circle. The Nationals have carried their first-5 run line in 23 of their last 30, taking a lead into the sixth in 3 straight, and the -0.5 pays +112 tonight in Oakland. Zack Littell is expected on the mound against J.T. Ginn in the nightcap of the slate. Stands out: Washington's F5 Run Line at +112.
Even Coors Field has gone quiet
Yes, another Under, and yes, this one's at Coors Field, so read it with a raised eyebrow. It's a small sample, but the Under has cashed in 6 of the Rockies' last 7 at home, and tonight's number is a hefty 12.5 with Tomoyuki Sugano expected to start. When the launching pad is producing Unders, the board is officially upside down. The lean is the Under, with the small sample noted.
Quick hits
- Minnesota keeps cashing tickets as a road underdog, winning 9 of its last 11 in that role, and it's +126 in the Wrigley matinee.
- At +105, Baltimore's First 5 Total Under has cashed in 18 of its last 26, five straight, in Houston.
- Miami keeps hanging around late: the +1.5 Run Line has cashed in 16 of its last 20, though you're laying -160 for the cushion in Milwaukee.
- Tigers games keep ending low, with the Under cashing in 19 of Detroit's last 28, and the number sits at 8.0 in Anaheim.
Take your pick tonight: a shootout in Atlanta or a snoozer in the Bronx, because the board refuses to agree with itself. We'll be back tomorrow to see which side blinked.
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