The prop board on Monday, July 20 reads like a scouting report on cold offense. Mookie Betts can't find a hit, Cody Bellinger can't score, and a wall of Unders has been cashing across the league. But a couple of loud exceptions are hiding in there too: one ace who keeps getting squared up, and a slugger who just went off. Let's sort the quiet from the loud.
| Prop | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts Under 1.5 Total Bases | Under in 9 straight | -155 |
| Cody Bellinger Under 0.5 Runs | Under in 21 of 23 | -170 |
| Jung Hoo Lee Under 0.5 RBI | Under in 25 of 30 | -235 |
| Jarren Duran Under 1.5 Total Bases | Under in 17 of 21 | -157 |
| George Kirby Over 5.5 Hits Allowed | Over in 10 straight | +122 |
| Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases | 2 HR on Sunday | +144 |
Mookie Betts can't find the barrel
Start with the biggest name on the board. Betts is hitting .203 this year and just went hitless in 4 straight games, and the Under on his Total Bases has cashed 9 in a row. Tonight's line is 1.5, laying -155. Dave Roberts has already dropped him in the order while he works through it. When a former MVP is this out of sync in Philadelphia, the Under 1.5 Total Bases is the trend riding the slump.
Worth a look: the Under 1.5 Total Bases at -155.
Bellinger isn't crossing the plate
Staying in the Bronx, Cody Bellinger hasn't scored a run in 21 of his last 23 games, and the Under 0.5 Runs is priced at -170 tonight against Pittsburgh. It fits the team trend too, since the Yankees' bats have gone cold enough that their team total dropped to 3.5. One quiet lineup, two ways to bet it.
The lean is the Under 0.5 Runs at -170.
Jung Hoo Lee's RBI column keeps reading zero
The longest quiet streak on the board belongs to San Francisco's Jung Hoo Lee, who hasn't driven in a run in 25 of his last 30 games, 11 in a row heading into Kansas City. The catch is the price. You are laying -235 on the Under 0.5 RBI, a heavy number for a strong trend. Lee is a table-setter, not a run producer, and it shows in both the streak and the tag.
Worth a look: the Under 0.5 RBI, if you can stomach -235.
Even Jarren Duran has gone quiet
Boston's Jarren Duran has landed under his Total Bases number in 17 of his last 21 games, with tonight's line at 1.5, -157. He hosts Baltimore in a series where the Orioles keep winning as dogs, so the Boston bats staying cold fits the shape of the game. This is a punch-you-quick section: the trend is the whole story.
The lean is the Under 1.5 Total Bases at -157.
Here's the loud one: George Kirby keeps getting hit
Now the tension turns. While bats go quiet everywhere else, Seattle's George Kirby has been getting squared up, giving up 30 hits over his last 4 starts, including a 9-hit night against the Mets. His Hits Allowed Over 5.5 has cashed 10 starts in a row, and it pays +122 tonight against Cincinnati. When a strike-thrower loses the edge of the zone the hits pile up, and Kirby's curve has been getting punished lately. He is expected to take the ball, and the number says the contact keeps coming.
Worth a look: Kirby Over 5.5 Hits Allowed at +122.
And the slugger who just went off
One more counter to the quiet board, and this one comes with a warning label. Austin Riley smashed 2 homers and drove in 4 on Sunday against Texas, his second multi-homer game of the year, and Atlanta hosts San Diego with his Over 1.5 Total Bases priced at +144. Fair warning: this is a one-night eruption, not a streak. Riley is hitting .211 on the season and ran cold through June before the bat woke up. But when a middle-of-the-order thumper is dialed in, plus money on the Total Bases Over is the kind of dice roll that fits a board starving for offense.
Could be a value play: Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases at +144.
Quick hits
- Steven Kwan is doing the opposite of everyone else: a hit in 18 of his last 21 games, with the Over 0.5 Hits at -185 in Cleveland.
- Kerry Carpenter has stayed under his Total Bases number in 10 straight, tonight at 1.5, -135.
- Ian Happ hasn't driven in a run in 25 of his last 28, and the Under 0.5 RBI sits at -175 for the Cubs.
- Angling for more cold bats? Logan O'Hoppe hasn't scored in 17 of his last 18, Under 0.5 Runs at -210.
The game-line trends get their own writeup in tonight's team board.
Most nights the props board hands you a side to chase. Tonight it mostly hands you bats to fade, with Kirby and Riley as the loud exceptions. Quiet can cash too.
A -235 favorite needs a real edge to be worth the lay, so run the number through our EV calculator first, then shop around with our line shopping guide. As always, gamble responsibly.