The bats woke up across the league Monday night, and Tuesday's prop board is split down the middle. A few hot hitters are still cashing Overs at plus money, while fading the cold ones now costs a real premium. The prices sort out who is who. Here is the board for Tuesday, July 21.
| Prop | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki Over 0.5 Runs | scored in 8 of 9 | +115 |
| Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases | hottest bat in baseball | -105 |
| Christian Walker Under 0.5 RBI | Under in 24 of 28 | -189 |
| Edmundo Sosa Under 0.5 Runs | Under in 11 of 11 | -165 |
| Masyn Winn Under 0.5 Runs | Under in 13 of 14 | -185 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | Over in 13 of 15 | -123 |
Seiya Suzuki is scorching, and it still pays plus money
Start with the hottest bat in the National League. Suzuki is riding a 6-game hitting streak at .423 with 3 homers, went back-to-back with Michael Busch on Monday, and the Over on his Runs has cashed in 8 of his last 9. Tonight it is +115 against Detroit. Plus money on a star who keeps crossing the plate is a rare combination, since a run this steady usually comes with a tax attached.
Worth a look: Suzuki Over 0.5 Runs at +115.
Yordan Alvarez is the hottest bat in the sport, full stop
If Suzuki is hot, Alvarez is an inferno. Houston's slugger owns the best OPS in baseball at 1.062, and he walks into tonight's game against Miami on a 7-game tear during which he has gone 13-for-25 with 4 homers. His Total Bases Over 1.5 is right around even money at -105. This is not a long prop streak, it is a hitter who has fully shaken off last year's injuries and is squaring up everything in sight. When a bat is this locked in, a number this low is the one to circle.
Worth a look: Alvarez Over 1.5 Total Bases at -105.
One locker over, Christian Walker can't drive anyone in
Same Houston lineup, opposite read. Walker has not picked up an RBI in 24 of his last 28 games, eight straight, and the Under 0.5 RBI is a juiced -189. Alvarez keeps mashing while Walker keeps coming up empty, which is two ways to bet the same offense on the same night.
Worth a look: Walker Under 0.5 RBI at -189, juice and all.
Edmundo Sosa hasn't touched home in a month
The cleanest cold streak on the board belongs to Philadelphia's Edmundo Sosa, whose Under 0.5 Runs is a perfect 11-for-11. He has not scored in a single one of them, and tonight it is -165 against the Dodgers. Perfect is perfect until it is not, and that is a premium to lay on a bat at the bottom of a scoring drought.
The lean is Sosa Under 0.5 Runs at -165.
Masyn Winn has gone quiet in St. Louis
Cardinals shortstop Masyn Winn has not scored in 13 of his last 14, and the Under 0.5 Runs is -185 in Anaheim. Short and simple: a bat in a run drought, priced right in line with it.
Worth a look: Winn Under 0.5 Runs at -185.
Ceddanne Rafaela keeps stuffing the box score
Back to the hot side to close. Boston's Ceddanne Rafaela has cleared his Hits + Runs + RBI number in 13 of his last 15, six in a row, and tonight it sits at 1.5, -123 against Baltimore. He does a little of everything at the bottom of the Red Sox order, and lately all of it has been landing.
The lean is Rafaela Over 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at -123.
Quick hits
- Houston's Isaac Paredes keeps slapping singles, with a hit in 24 of his last 29 and the Over 0.5 Hits at -175 against Miami.
- Logan O'Hoppe still can't score, his Under 0.5 Runs cashing in 18 of the last 19, at -185 against the Cardinals.
- Colorado's Ezequiel Tovar hasn't driven in a run in 23 of his last 28, and the Under 0.5 RBI is -200.
- Kansas City's Isaac Collins has a hit in 21 of his last 26, with the Over 0.5 Hits at -140.
The game-line streaks are on tonight's team board.
Monday the bats came alive, and the board split into the hot and the cold. The prices already know the difference, so your job is to guess who cools off and who stays lit.
A -189 fade needs a real edge to clear, so run it through our EV calculator first, then shop the number with our line shopping guide. As always, gamble responsibly.