Baseball's back. After four days off, all 30 teams are on the board Friday, July 17, and every streak below has been sitting on ice since Sunday. That's the tension: 14 games, a pile of live runs, and nobody's swung a bat that counted since the break started.
| Bet | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| TEX/ATL Game Total Over 8.0 | Over in 18 of last 24 | -108 |
| NYY Team Total Under 4.5 | Under in 17 of last 21 | -125 |
| SEA NRFI | 11-0 in last 11 | - |
| STL F5 Total Under 4.5 | Under in 15 of last 20 | +110 |
| CWS F5 Run Line +0.5 | 9-2 in last 11 | -125 |
| MIA Run Line +1.5 | 15-4 in last 19 | -163 |
Somebody forgot to tell Texas the pitching matters
First pitch in Atlanta is 7:15 PM ET, and the Rangers arrive with the loudest scoreboard on the board. The Over has cashed in 7 straight Texas games and 18 of their last 24, and the actuals aren't close calls: 11, 12, 10, 13, 14 runs in five of those. Here's the fun part. Chris Sale is expected on the mound for Atlanta, and Texas has seen the Over hit in all 7 of its games against an expected lefty starter in this run. Cal Quantrill gets the ball for the Rangers. Tonight's number is 8.0.
Worth a look: the Over at -108.
The Bronx has gone silent
10 straight cashes. That's the run the Yankees' Team Total Under carries into tonight, and it's hit in 17 of their last 21 overall. Roki Sasaki is expected to start for Los Angeles against Gerrit Cole, in a game the market reads as close to a coin flip at -108. The bats, not the pitching, are the story here: 1, 4, 5, 2, 3 runs across the recent log. Tonight's number is 4.5.
Worth a look: the Under at -125.
Nothing happens early in Seattle
11 straight. The 1st inning has stayed scoreless in every one of Seattle's last 11 games, and Bryce Miller is expected to open against Landen Roupp at 10:10 PM ET. No price is posted on the first-inning market, so take the streak for what it is: the cleanest run on the board.
St. Louis keeps the early innings boring
Merrill Kelly and Michael McGreevy are the expected starters in Arizona, and the shape of this one has been consistent. The Cardinals' F5 Total Under has cashed in 15 of their last 20, including their last 3, and the recent log is full of 2s and 3s. The 9:40 PM ET start pays +110 on the Under, which is the rare early-innings angle at plus money. If you want the terminology on F5 markets, our betting terminology guide covers it.
The lean is to the Under at +110.
Chicago hasn't been buried early
Nobody's calling the White Sox good. The number doesn't have to be. Chicago hasn't trailed after 5 innings in 4 straight, and it's gone 9-2 on the F5 Run Line +0.5 over its last 11, with Anthony Kay expected to face Spencer Miles in Toronto. They're +117 on the full-game Money Line as a road dog, which tells you how the market sees the other 4 innings.
Stands out: the F5 Run Line +0.5 at -125.
Miami stays close
Sandy Alcantara is expected to take the ball in Milwaukee at 7:40 PM ET, and the Marlins have been the definition of within reach. They've stayed within a run, or won outright, in 15 of their last 19, and they've cashed the +1.5 in 3 straight. They're a +129 dog on the Money Line tonight.
Could be a value play: the Run Line +1.5 at -163.
Quick hits
- Baltimore's opening frame has stayed scoreless in 7 straight, and the Orioles are in Houston at 8:10 PM ET.
- The Pirates have put up 4 or more in 5 straight and 18 of their last 27, with a 3.5 Team Total in Cleveland at -110.
- +100 on a double-digit number: the Under 10.5 has cashed in 4 straight Twins games, though 7 games is a small window to lean on.
- Detroit's games keep finishing quiet, with the Under hitting in 18 of the last 27, and tonight's total in Anaheim is 8.5.
Four days is long enough for a bat to go cold and a streak to mean nothing. It's also long enough for a team to remember it can hit. Tonight we find out which, and today's props board has the player-level version of the same question.
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