15 games, and almost all of them start inside the same hour on July 26. Sunday getaway day compresses the whole card into a 1:35 to 2:35 PM ET window, so the props board is less a slate to work through than a single decision you make before lunch.
The shape of it matches the team side: a lot of bats that haven't been doing much. One of them has gone 13 games without an answer.
Trend board
| Prop | Record | Price |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter Under 1.5 Total Bases | 1 base or fewer in 17 of his last 18 | -171 |
| Mookie Betts Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI | Under in 14 of his last 16 | +115 |
| Andrew Abbott Under 5.5 Hits Allowed | 5 or fewer in 13 of his last 14 | -110 |
| J.T. Realmuto Over 0.5 Hits | A hit in 10 straight | -185 |
| Kyle Stowers Under 0.5 Runs | Hasn't scored in 12 straight | -125 |
| Jackson Chourio Under 1.5 Total Bases | 1 base or fewer in 16 of his last 20 | -105 |
Carpenter's been a ghost for two weeks
Detroit's lefty slugger has been held to 1 total base or fewer in 17 of his last 18 games, and the current run is 13 in a row. Look at the log and it's stark: 1 base, 1, 1, then 3 straight zeroes before that.
Luinder Avila is expected to start for Kansas City, and the handedness split lines up. Carpenter has stayed Under this number in 22 of 27 games against right-handers. The price is steep at -171, and it should be after 13 straight, but the trend itself hasn't wobbled.
One caution worth stating plainly: replayed at today's 1.5 specifically, the 18-game window scores 15 of 18 rather than 17. Still strong, just not quite the headline number.
Worth a look: Under 1.5 Total Bases at -171.
Plus money on a superstar going quiet
You don't often get a plus price attached to Mookie Betts doing nothing, and today you do. Betts has finished Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI in 14 of his last 16, with 4 in a row, and the number pays +115.
The recent log is a string of ones and zeroes broken by a single 10-base explosion on July 20, which is the honest counterweight here. When he goes, he goes. Freddy Peralta is expected on the mound for New York in a 1:40 PM ET start.
Worth a look: Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBI at +115.
The pitcher prop nobody has to squint at
Andrew Abbott has allowed 5 hits or fewer in 13 of his last 14 starts. The lone miss was a 6-hit outing on June 26. He's expected to start against St. Louis at 2:15 PM ET, and the line is 5.5 at a standard -110.
That makes 4 starts in a row under the number, at the same 5.5 every time. That last part matters more than it sounds.
Worth a look: Under 5.5 Hits Allowed at -110.
Realmuto is the exception on a board full of quiet bats
Almost everything else here is an Under. The Phillies catcher is the counterpunch: he's had a hit in 10 straight games and reached safely in 17 of his last 21. He's had 2 hits in each of the last 2.
He draws Will Warren in the only night game on the card, 7:20 PM ET in Philadelphia, which also makes it the one prop on this list you can still watch after the afternoon rush has cleared out. The price is up at -185, so the market knows.
Worth a look: Over 0.5 Hits at -185.
12 games without crossing the plate
Kyle Stowers hasn't scored a run in 12 straight games. Not one, across the entire stretch, and the replay at today's number is a clean 12 for 12.
Walker Buehler is expected to start for San Diego. 1:40 PM ET in Miami.
Worth a look: Under 0.5 Runs at -125.
Chourio at a price that hasn't moved
Milwaukee's young outfielder has been limited to 1 total base or fewer in 16 of his last 20, and 8 in a row. What stands out next to the rest of this board is the price: -105, essentially flat, on a trend that's cashed 8 consecutive times.
Kyle Freeland is Colorado's expected starter, and Chourio has landed Under against left-handers in 5 of 6. Every game in the recent log was priced at this same 1.5, so the record and today's bet are the same bet. 2:10 PM ET.
Worth a look: Under 1.5 Total Bases at -105.
Quick hits
- Zach McKinstry hasn't scored in 11 straight. Same Detroit lineup, same story, -180.
- +130 is the number on Teoscar Hernandez to score, and he's crossed the plate in 14 of his last 17.
- Royce Lewis has gone 8 games in a row without an RBI, priced at -180 against Oakland.
- Jake Cronenworth has been capped at 1 base in 21 of his last 24, though at -170 you're paying for all of it.
- Schwarber without an RBI has hit 6 straight times, and 16 of the last 20, at -160.
We left the top of the feed alone again. Most of the highest-ranked rows this morning were single-game reactions to one big night, and a monster Saturday isn't a trend. Everything above runs at least 14 games deep.
If you want the game markets instead, today's team trends board has the Royals-Tigers Under and the rest. Prices move fast on a compressed slate, so our line shopping guide is worth a minute first.
By the time most people sit down for a Sunday afternoon game, this board will already be half-decided. Carpenter gets his 14th chance to keep the streak alive at 1:40 PM ET. Please gamble responsibly.